87.6%
pass rate across 226,704 tests
86.0% first-time pass rate
72,807 mi median at test
The same model, 3 years apart, compared on 426,364 real MOT tests. The raw pass rate mostly measures age; the like-for-like row and the mileage bands show what survives that adjustment.
87.6%
pass rate across 226,704 tests
86.0% first-time pass rate
72,807 mi median at test
90.7%
pass rate across 199,660 tests
89.8% first-time pass rate
47,598 mi median at test
The short answer
Across 426,364 tests, the 2018 Golf passes 90.7% of MOTs and the 2015 87.6%. The 2018 cars are 3 years newer and were tested at a median 47,598 miles against 72,807, so part of that gap is simply age and use. Against what their age and mileage predict, the 2018 is +2.8 points and the 2015 +5.5 — a like-for-like gap of −2.7 points. Most of the raw advantage disappears once the two are matched. Typical repair bills are £38–£93 on the 2015 and £40–£94 on the 2018. The two bills are close. Repairs under £30 account for 19% of the 2015's recorded faults and 20% of the 2018's. Both years fail most often on windscreen.
| Measure | 2015 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| MOT tests on record | 226,704 | 199,660 |
| Pass rate, all MOTs | 87.6% | 90.7% stronger figure |
| First-time pass rate | 86.0% | 89.8% stronger figure |
| Against the UK average | +5.5 pts stronger figure | +2.8 pts |
| Like-for-like, age and mileage adjusted | +5.5 pts stronger figure | +2.8 pts |
| Average mileage at test | 76,385 mi | 51,000 mi |
| Median mileage at test | 72,807 mi | 47,598 mi |
| Typical repair bill | £38–£93 stronger figure | £40–£94 |
| Repairs under £30 | 19% | 20% stronger figure |
| Most common failing part | Windscreen | Windscreen |
| Variants recorded | 2 | 1 |
| Main fuel | Diesel 55% | Petrol 67% |
A ✓ marks the stronger figure in each row. It compares the two model years, not either one against the national average.
The most common priced failures on each year, as a share of that year's tests. Repair costs are estimates from UK parts data, not quotes.
Pass rate by the mileage recorded at test. If the lead shrinks in the high-mileage bands, part of the headline difference was a younger, lower-mileage sample.
| Mileage | 2015 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| 0–30,000 mi | 93.9% · 9,935 tests | 94.4% · 35,294 tests |
| 30,000–60,000 mi | 90.8% · 63,373 tests | 91.1% · 105,323 tests |
| 60,000–90,000 mi | 87.1% · 87,237 tests | 88.2% · 46,467 tests |
| 90,000–120,000 mi | 84.3% · 45,898 tests | 86.0% · 10,003 tests |
| 120,000+ mi | 84.2% · 20,219 tests | 87.3% · 2,554 tests |
Compare another pair of years for the Volkswagen Golf? Pick two years →
Compare a different pair of years? Pick two years of the Volkswagen Golf →
Or put the Golf against another model: Compare the Volkswagen Golf side by side →