Calculate my fail sheet

Volkswagen Golf 2015 vs 2018

The same model, 3 years apart, compared on 426,364 real MOT tests. The raw pass rate mostly measures age; the like-for-like row and the mileage bands show what survives that adjustment.

Car · model year

2015

Volkswagen Golf

87.6%

pass rate across 226,704 tests

86.0% first-time pass rate

72,807 mi median at test

Car · model year

2018

Volkswagen Golf

90.7%

pass rate across 199,660 tests

89.8% first-time pass rate

47,598 mi median at test

The short answer

The 2018 Golf passes more — but most of it is age

Across 426,364 tests, the 2018 Golf passes 90.7% of MOTs and the 2015 87.6%. The 2018 cars are 3 years newer and were tested at a median 47,598 miles against 72,807, so part of that gap is simply age and use. Against what their age and mileage predict, the 2018 is +2.8 points and the 2015 +5.5 — a like-for-like gap of −2.7 points. Most of the raw advantage disappears once the two are matched. Typical repair bills are £38–£93 on the 2015 and £40–£94 on the 2018. The two bills are close. Repairs under £30 account for 19% of the 2015's recorded faults and 20% of the 2018's. Both years fail most often on windscreen.

  • Pass rate: 87.6% vs 90.7%
  • Tests: 226,704 vs 199,660
  • Like-for-like: +5.5 vs +2.8 pts
  • Median mileage: 72,807 vs 47,598 mi
  • Typical repair: £38–£93 vs £40–£94
  • Cheap fixes: 19% vs 20%
Volkswagen Golf 2015 against 2018, measure by measure
Measure 2015 2018
MOT tests on record 226,704 199,660
Pass rate, all MOTs 87.6% 90.7% stronger figure
First-time pass rate 86.0% 89.8% stronger figure
Against the UK average +5.5 pts stronger figure +2.8 pts
Like-for-like, age and mileage adjusted +5.5 pts stronger figure +2.8 pts
Average mileage at test 76,385 mi 51,000 mi
Median mileage at test 72,807 mi 47,598 mi
Typical repair bill £38–£93 stronger figure £40–£94
Repairs under £30 19% 20% stronger figure
Most common failing part Windscreen Windscreen
Variants recorded 2 1
Main fuel Diesel 55% Petrol 67%

A ✓ marks the stronger figure in each row. It compares the two model years, not either one against the national average.

What goes wrong most often

The most common priced failures on each year, as a share of that year's tests. Repair costs are estimates from UK parts data, not quotes.

Does the gap hold at higher mileage?

Pass rate by the mileage recorded at test. If the lead shrinks in the high-mileage bands, part of the headline difference was a younger, lower-mileage sample.

Pass rate by mileage band for the 2015 and 2018 Volkswagen Golf
Mileage 2015 2018
0–30,000 mi 93.9% · 9,935 tests 94.4% · 35,294 tests
30,000–60,000 mi 90.8% · 63,373 tests 91.1% · 105,323 tests
60,000–90,000 mi 87.1% · 87,237 tests 88.2% · 46,467 tests
90,000–120,000 mi 84.3% · 45,898 tests 86.0% · 10,003 tests
120,000+ mi 84.2% · 20,219 tests 87.3% · 2,554 tests

What to check before you buy

2015 Volkswagen Golf

  • Windscreen damaged but not adversely affecting driver's view — 2.5% of tests · £80–£200
  • Shock absorbers has a serious fluid leak — 2.0% of tests · £30–£75
  • Has a cut in excess of the requirements deep enough to reach the ply or cords — 1.1% of tests · £45–£95
  • Check the MOT history for the exact vehicle, not just the model year.

2018 Volkswagen Golf

  • Windscreen damaged but not adversely affecting driver's view — 1.9% of tests · £80–£200
  • Has a cut in excess of the requirements deep enough to reach the ply or cords — 1.4% of tests · £45–£95
  • Tread depth below requirements of 1.6mm — 0.9% of tests · £45–£95
  • Check the MOT history for the exact vehicle, not just the model year.

Compare another pair of years for the Volkswagen Golf? Pick two years →

Each column pools every test of that model year in the latest data. A vehicle tested in more than one year appears in each, so these are test outcomes, not a count of individual vehicles. Like-for-like adjusts for the age and mileage mix but cannot separate a facelift from a newer build. Repair figures are estimates from UK parts data; a garage quote is the only number that matters for a specific vehicle.

Compare a different pair of years? Pick two years of the Volkswagen Golf →

Or put the Golf against another model: Compare the Volkswagen Golf side by side →

Both columns come from the same 2023–2025 test data. Read the full pages for the 2015 Volkswagen Golf and the 2018 Volkswagen Golf.